Going back to outdoors, the 10 day-forecast is equally suitable for any sport or activity. But you shouldn’t rely on it in particular values of temperature, wind speed, etc. Forecast for 10 days can be used for the understanding of the weather conditions, so it is better to double-check it comparing different sources (weather models). So it is about 70% compared to the 1-day forecast, which is the most accurate. How accurate is the forecast for 10 days? It is logical to assume that the longer the forecast period, the less accurate it is. This is where this number of the days comes from. But our methods of weather prediction are still imperfect, so the real limit is a bit lower and equals approximately 10 days. We can’t predict the weather correctly for more than 14 days. 14 days are called the “theoretical limit” of weather prediction. That means that no matter what’s happening with the weather now, in 14 days the current situation can change in any direction. But why exactly 10 days?įrom the physical laws that describe the atmosphere dynamics, meteorologists know that the atmosphere “forgets” its current state in 14 days. And it’s the longest forecast to have accuracy. This time period is long enough to plan outdoor activities even for the next weekend. Hence there is such a thing as the duration of the forecast.ġ0 day weather forecast is the key and therefore most common among the forecasts of different durations. In other words, the forecast has time limits. The problem is that the weather cannot be predicted far into the future. Then they put this data into supercomputers that use those physical laws to turn past and current weather conditions into the weather forecast. The most modern and accurate method to predict the weather is numeric modeling. There are well-known physical laws that together can describe how the air moves and how conditions in every spot change. To collect weather data meteorologists use various instruments but mostly special observation weather stations, which are located all over the world. Weather forecast is the prediction of weather conditions that will occur in the future. There are several methods to do this. You can also see forecasts for 3, 5, 7 and 14 days, and, of course, for today and tomorrow. But what does these numbers actually mean? Could we trust a forecast for more than two weeks or even a month? In this article, you will learn what the 10 day weather forecast is, why it is considered the main one, and about other forecast durations and their accuracy. The same idea applies to the precipitation normal values, except enhanced odds forĪbove- (below-) normal precipitation values are green (brown).10 day weather forecast is the key and therefore most common among the forecasts of different durations. If the selected point is within an area of enhanced odds forīelow-normal temperatures, the shading around the normal maximum/minimum temperature will appear blue. If the selected point is withinĪn area of enhanced odds for above-normal temperatures, the shading around the normal maximum/minimum temperature will appear red. The color used to highlight the normal values (precipitation or maximum/minimum temperature) are used to delineate the category of the forecast at the point clicked. What does the highlighting around the normal precipitation or normal maximum/minimum temperature imply? What color scheme is used? The color scheme follows that of the static images for the 6-10 day forecasts and 8-14 day forecasts. Intervening values are linearly interpolated, combined with data from the COOP, and averaged over the 5-day period to createĪverage maximum/minimum temperature normals. For temperatures, monthly average maximum/minimum temperatures are assigned to theġ5th of the current month and subsequent month. These values are then summed over the 5-day period to create total precipitation normals. PRISM data are inherently available as monthly values.įor precipitation, daily average values are calculated (Monthly Total/Number of Days in Month) and combined with data from the Cooperative Observer Network (COOP). PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) normals are used in this display. Many thanks to the staff there for developing the prototype and assisting in the transition to CPC.įAQ What climatologies are used in this display? This webpage was developed in conjunction with the Weather Forecast Office in Pendleton, Oregon (WFO PDT).
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This is causing some conflict in some neighborhoods and with HOAs, as people who like perfectly manicured monocultural lawns are irritated by unkempt yards of grass with dandelions raising their sunshine yellow heads as maturation to seed sweeps across the suburban landscape. There is a contemporary movement No Mow May that asks people in the northern hemisphere to forgo mowing so as to let the dandelions bloom and feed the bees who are waking from their slumber and are in need of nectar to sustain themselves until other blossoms are available. A weed that most are familiar with, that children and bees delight in, and many who want a manicured monoculture of grass abhor. The imagery of dandelions is in the forefront of my mind. Share in these gifts and know that we are all enough. Please go in the knowledge that there is enough for all, be it God’s earthly blessings that are so delicious and nourishing or God’s love that connects us. Go from this place during this harvest time and taste the ripeness of a plump tomato, the sweetness of fresh steamed corn, the crisp coolness of cucumbers. God’s people, you are called to go forth and appreciate the weeds among us, as we have each been in the wrong place at times. Leader: We dedicate these resources to doing God’s work among God’s people.Īll: May these gifts plant seeds of justice for God’s children who seek it may they remind us to love more mercifully may all walk humbly as we learn to trod gently upon this earth. We are all worthy of this enduring joy and sustenance as beloved children of God.Īs recipients of the many ways in which God provides, let us share this generosity with others whose seeds have not yet taken root, whose plots need tending. Let us know that God has always provided us with growth and abundance and will continue to guide us in the care of bounteous fields that spring forth with plant and animal, both weed and seed. We confess that we fall short and we ask that you show us the path again to your fruitful garden where all things grow and flourish. Guide us to give of that abundance, to receive with grace and gratitude, and to turn our hearts from the perception of scarcity. We forget that we are all created in your divine beauty, perfect specimens of your holy vision for a people who can love without bounds, share without tallying, and celebrate among the great diversity you created to thrive together. We forget that there are ample riches from this earth if we manage your resources you and we share generously among all your beloved children. God of creation and plenty, it can be easy for us to forget the abundant nature of your love. We are in need and we turn to you to be with us as we practice creating the kin-dom of heaven here on earth. God of many names, mother of all creation, father of all that is, womb of life, and wellspring of all that we can ever know, we invite your presence here as we seek to embody your loving spirit and create your presence among us. Many: For what our land grows with our tending, is only ours for a moment in time, filling a short term and immediate need.Īll: May we share the harvest by tithing back to nature, feeding the hungry among us, storing for the future without hoarding, and setting enough seed aside for the next season of planting. One: We have enough, and an attitude of plentifulness increases through sharing. Many: May we also recognize that the weed, the rabbit, the caterpillar also has needs for sustenance. One: While we channel resources – water, light, fertile ground to the produce we desire in our gardens, Many: As we harvest the fruitful seeds of nature and God’s Garden, let us share in the bounty with our neighbors. One: As we harvest our growing abundance in this time of mid-summer, may we relish in the fruit of our labor,
Try these sugar skull ideas for pumpkin decorating: Write the child’s name on the bottom right when he or she finishes the sugar skull pumpkin.īoys decorating white pumpkins at my daughter’s birthday party Sugar Skull Pumpkin Tips.Create fancy designs elsewhere on the face using rhinestones and flowers.Use stickers or sticky rhinestones to symbolize teeth.Make a nose with an upside-down heart sticker.Surround the flowers with rows of rhinestones.Use flower stickers in the center to make the eyes.Wipe off the pumpkin so it’s nice and clean.Here is the birthday girl! I love this picture so much – I think it was so sunny she had to close her eyes! But, she looks SO happy! □įollow these steps to make your own sugar skull pumpkin: This no-paint pumpkin decorating method works great in crowds of littles to keep the mess to a minimum. Personally, I am firmly in the camp of less mess for the win, at least at a birthday party! Here is my younger daughter’s Flower Skull White Pumpkin with foam stickers and rhinestones DIY Sugar Skull Designs for Pumpkinsįlower shaped foam stickers work perfectly to create pumpkin sugar skulls, especially around the eyes. Of course, you could use glitter glue and real paint products to decorate sugar skull pumpkins if you really wanted. Here is my older daughter’s smiling hand-drawn sugar skull pumpkin with rhinestone gems Real White Pumpkins (White Pumpkin / Casper Pumpkin).Gather these materials so your kids can make their own sugar skull pumpkins: We loved this white pumpkin craft so much we would do it all over again! Here you can see some of the supplies we used. Here’s exactly how we did it! Sugar Skull Pumpkin Design Materials They turned out absolutely amazing! The kids did a great job decorating the white pumpkins like Día de los Muertos skulls! After missing some previous festivities due to Covid, we hosted her party at a corn maze with campfire hotdogs and s’mores.Īt the party, all the kids made a DIY sugar skull pumpkin craft! We came up with this white pumpkin craft for our daughter’s birthday in 2021. Sugar Skull Pumpkin – white pumpkin decorated with flower stickers and sticky rhinestones for our daughter’s 6th birthdayīy the way – if you are unfamiliar with the culture and traditions, you can find some great information about Day of the Dead in Oaxaxa, Mexico! (Simply translate the webpage to English.) You can make a no-paint sugar skull pumpkin using a “Casper pumpkin” (white pumpkin) in your own nod to Day of the Dead (Día de Muertos). In admiration, we tried to embrace this beautiful idea with a fall craft. While the paint is still wet load some Banana Cream into the brush (do not clean the brush first), touch in and blend to create some highlighting.With a powerful meaning behind this Mexican tradition, the sugar skull designs of “Calavera” deserve special attention and respect. (if that seems confusing just view the video)Ĩ. In the center paint both sides of it as you did the other pumpkin ridges then just fill in the very center with the Tangelo Orange. Stroke the Georgia Clay side along the outside edges of the pumpkin ridges and the Tangelo Orange toward the center.ħ. (see this post if you don’t know what double load means) Double load the #12 Flat brush with the Tangelo Orange and Georgia Clay. Let crackle background dry thoroughly Instructions for how to paint pumpkinsĦ. One stroke brushes which include #12 Flat Brush.īanana Cream or you can use Folk Art Sunflower instead of Banana Creamįirst choose your surface of choice, on this one I used a 1×6 pine board cut into a square, you can also use stretched canvasįor a tutorial on getting the crackle effect visit this post : How to Use Crackle MediumĤ. “Our industry is driven by technology but our company is defined by our people,” said Neil Welsh, president and founder of Silverback Strategies. advertising and marketing companies included in the 2017 Ad Age Best Places to Work list. 1, 2016, Silverback has added nine new employees, bringing the agency total to 25.Silverback Strategies, a performance marketing agency in Alexandria, Va, is #25 of 50 U.S. Silverback enjoyed its best year in company history in 2016, creating over $4.6 million in revenue while working with well-known clients like Strayer University, PenFed and JK Moving Services. These perks have not come at the expense of company growth. Silverback is currently implementing a voluntary meditation program with on-site training at no cost to employees. The company holds regular happy hours, lunch-and-learn sessions and sponsors out-of-the-office field trips to play dodgeball, bubble soccer and cornhole. and other locales throughout the country for training, conferences and events with industry leaders like Google and Bing. All Silverback employees are given the opportunity to travel to New York City, Mountain View, Calif., Boston, Mass. The agency also offers dental, vision, 401(k) matching, paid maternity/paternity leave, gym memberships and limited tuition reimbursement. Silverback Strategies offers employees excellent pay and benefits, including full medical benefits. “If you contribute to the team and clients are thrilled, then you are a star here - regardless of title or tenure.” “We don’t sweat things like what you wear to work, what your title is or whether you got permission to try something new,” Mr. The agency recorded a seven-out-of-seven score when surveyed employees were asked to rate the agency on work schedule flexibility. What we learn is the foundation of future success.” “We demand that our team tries new ideas and takes risks. “Intellectual curiosity is critical to our culture,” Mr. Management does a good job of building a sense of shared mission for the organization.My company is financially solid and healthy.The relationship between myself and my manager is mutually supportive.I am adequately thanked and recognized for my work.I am challenged and interested in my work.Would you recommend this company as a great place to work?.One-hundred percent of SIlverback employee surveys gave the agency a five-out-of-five score in the following six categories: Each response was reviewed by a panel of Washingtonian editors. Over 8,000 employees from 200 companies completed anonymous surveys sharing their own impressions of day-to-day life in their workplace. Washingtonian’s annual Great Places to Work list is, according to the publication, “open to any company or nonprofit as long as it has an office in the greater Washington area.” The application process includes several in-depth questions about a company’s industry, size, management structure, benefits, culture, educational opportunities, philanthropic efforts, wellness programs, employee turnover and more. 5000 and was recognized as one of the Washington Business Journal’s 2016 Best Places to Work. Silverback Strategies specializes in SEO, Paid Search, Social, Content Marketing and Web analytics. This recognition is a real testament to the high-performance, tight-knit culture that our team has built at Silverback over the past 10 years." The ability to recruit and retain top tier talent is critical to the success of any marketing agency. "Our industry is driven by technology but our company is defined by our people. This recognition is a real testament to the high-performance, tight-knit culture that our team has built at Silverback over the past 10 years.” “The ability to recruit and retain top tier talent is critical to the success of any marketing agency. “Our industry is driven by technology but our company is defined by our people,” says Neil Welsh, president and founder of Silverback Strategies. metro area to be included in the annual roundup of top workplaces. Silverback is one of only 50 companies from the Washington, D.C. Silverback Strategies, a digital performance marketing agency located in Alexandria’s historic Old Town, has been named to Washingtonian’s exclusive 2017 list of Great Places to Work. More than simple record storage, Atocha Design creates handcrafted, mid-century-inspired furniture for storing records, CDs, and audio components. Below we put together a list of 27 practical, dedicated solutions for storing your highly prized vinyl collection, covering a large range of price and style, for both US and European markets. Another inexpensive option, particularly if you're looking for smaller storage units, is to search Etsy for "record storage". You'll find numerous good plans and designs with a little research. This approach has a lot of advantages as it's custom made to fit your collection size and room. Stacking horizontally will cause warping and ring marks.Ī good alternative to shopped storage solutions is the DIY method which can be cost effective, but also time consuming. But remember, the No.1 rule of record storage is to always stack them vertically. Also, you should avoid keeping records in very leaned rows, as even a 40 degree lean can create too much pressure and result in warped records over time. It's recommended to have a solid wall divider between about every 50 records and to leave some room for easy browsing. A 12" row of vertically stacked vinyl can weight at least 30 lbs, so you have to make sure your shelves will manage to stand them. However, good record storage units can be quite expensive, but they have many advantages over regular shelves which might not be solid enough or have the right dimensions. So if you are committed to spend a good amount of money on your favorite vinyl, it's a logical step to spend a little more to ensure they are stored properly. Luckily, you'll find a multitude of great storage solutions available on the market at all price points. A well chosen shelving or cabinet will blend perfectly with your environment and make your collection look great and easily available for playing. Having a dedicated record storage unit in your listening area is a good sign that you care about your records. Grab Bright Star Crafters Vinyl and instantly create fun DIY projects! Click the button below to find crafts you’ll love to try.27 vinyl record storage and shelving solutions It’s crafting organization made super easy! Bonus: How To Store Your Vinyl ScrapsĪnd if you’re wondering how to organize vinyl scraps, a photo album is an awesome storage solution! Slip it inside clear sheets and organize them by color. The best part? It has wheels, that can make rolling it around a walk in the park. It’s a unique idea on How to organize vinyl sheets. Roll your vinyl anywhere in your craft room by creating a DIY vintage crate. Label them properly, so it’s easily identifiable and neatly arranged. Here’s an easy storage solution to keep away dust and other elements from your vinyl rolls! Make a DIY vinyl storage box, and place them inside any clear or transparent covered plastic box. Tuck the baskets into shelves or cubbies and you’re done! 4. Place your vinyl in each basket after sorting and re-rolling them. This craft vinyl sheet storage idea is a great way to store your vinyl when you want to keep everything neat, clean, and simple! All you need are some storage baskets. Delightfully arranged on shelves, they look super duper chic! 3. Easy to see, easy to store, and easy on the eyes, too. It’s one of the best storage ideas for vinyl rolls. Stash your rolls neatly in acrylic bins and label them. Ikea HackĪrrange your vinyl rolls into colors to make them look super organized! This IKEA vinyl storage idea is a clever hack that will turn your craft room from drab to fab. Sort, contain, and label them, and check out which storage solution goes perfectly with your craft room. Get your crafting supplies organized! We’ve got amazing Vinyl Roll Organizer Ideas for you. Vinyl Roll Organizer Ideas For A Clutter-Free Craft Room Cross Platform and Independent Codec –Īs it has been mentioned above, this software can be performed in different platforms. Besides there are auto rotate technology, track composition, blending modes, custom gradient, deinterlacing, white balance, filters, speed controller and reverse clip options. Shotcut has three types of colour wheels and colour correction tools such as shadows, mids and highlights. It can also dissolve transitions and save clips from getting overlapped. The timeline can control an audio to be faded in or faded out. There are peak meter, compressor, audio mixing tools, swap channels, tone generator, pitch compensation, volume control and other audio filters. Thus you will need no imported files and while timeline editing. There is an HDR to SDR tone mapping system along with video generator plugins. You can jumble between different resolutions and frames as well. Shotcut supports almost all the latest video, image and audio formats. Tools of Shotcut Video Editor: Wide support format – Shotcut Video Editor Tutorial 2020 – Designed For Beginners By Jacky Nguyen Shotcut Video Editor – Tutorial for Beginners in 10 MINUTES! by bai Here we have added shotcut video editor tutorial for for beginners, just watch complete tricks of that tutorials and start your own editing as well. The quality will depend on the system resources. After you are done, you can encode the file including mpg, mp4, ogv, 3gp or wmv format. You can then open a source file, use the navigation menu to edit the video on your timeline. As it is an open source system, you can easily download it and use it on spot from its official website. Even you can reach out for public meetings which have an inseparable part of our everyday life. Thus the user need not to take much hustle while dealing with this application. Most of its settings are arranged as default. This software can be used to cut and trim a video, add panels or audio, make a presentation or a movie. At present it has become one of the popular and reliable options for video editing within reasonable package options. It follows c and c++ as its programming language. It is a GPU based processor that offers you a webcam, audio recording facility, filters, effects and a well designed hardware. It was first launched in 2004 and developed by Dan Dennedy. Shotcut is free and open source video editing software which can run on Linux, macOS, Windows and even FreeBSD. The Adaptive theme on Windows and Linux now features custom title bars. commonly found in code editors such as Visual Studio Code (VS Code) or Sublime Text. Themes and Color Schemes support auto dark-mode switching.
Features of Snapseed App:Īnyways, since we are done with the basic description and introduction part. Well, 100 million + Downloads are sufficient to show its credibility. Over 100 million users have already downloaded this application from the Play Store. Snapseed is readily available on Apple App and Google Play Store, you don’t need to juggle to find this editing tool. This software has a mobile-friendly interface, you can use it on your mobile phone for editing your images. The app offers non-destructive editing, allowing you to retain HD quality without hassles. This application is now available in 40+ languages, further easing photo editing in different zones. The application size is 22Mb which even fits your phone without consuming RAM. Besides this, this editing software doesn’t consume much space on your PC or smartphone. Snapseed is a free image editing software you don’t need to pay a penny to edit your images. Edit Your Photos Without Spending a Penny Using Snapseed Snapseed has everything that allows you quick editing and transforms your ordinary picture into a pro-level image. Thanks to Snapseed (A photo editing tool), which helps edit images without compromising originality and make them more appealing. For example, the poor lighting effect may create a lousy shot due to software limitations. When we tend to capture a picture and want to keep it for life long, it has to be perfect with original essence.īut sometimes, pictures don’t come out perfect. It’s a way to create memories and cherish the moments we spent in the past. Pictures play a crucial role in everyone’s life. The Best Photo Editing App – Snapseed AppĬreate Images That Pop Up At a Glance with Snapseed To explain it better, Snapseed is a one-touch apply editing tool that is super easy to use and offers all features of professional editing tools. Though the application is free, you get all the exclusive features for quality editing that you expect from any premium image editing software. Editing photos becomes non-destructive and super easy when you have Snapseed installed on your device.Īs the app is free, you can give it a try to know its worth and fine-tune your images on the go. Whether you need masking, color contrast, or filters like Retrolux, Lens Blur, and more, this tool has a stack of features you may miss in random editing tools. Snapseed is designed for photography enthusiasts who are detail-oriented and want to recreate imposing images. Want to make your pictures more appealing and attractive? If you are never satisfied with basic photo editing software, then Snapseed is the best photo editing app you can try. While only a modest box office hit at first, it has since garnered a large cult following. The film met with critical success upon release, earning praise for its animation (particularly the innovation of the stop-motion art form), characters, songs and score. Production started in July 1991 in San Francisco Disney initially released the film through Touchstone Pictures because the studio believed the film would be "too dark and scary for kids". Over the years, Burton's thoughts regularly returned to the project, and, in 1990, he made a development deal with Walt Disney Studios. With the success of Vincent in the same year, Burton began to consider developing The Nightmare Before Christmas as either a short film or a half-hour television special, to no avail. The Nightmare Before Christmas originated in a poem written by Burton in 1982 while he was working as an animator at Walt Disney Productions. The principal voice cast also includes Chris Sarandon, Catherine O'Hara, William Hickey, Ken Page, Paul Reubens, Glenn Shadix, and Ed Ivory. Danny Elfman wrote the songs and score and provided the singing voice of Jack. It tells the story of Jack Skellington, the King of " Halloween Town", who stumbles upon " Christmas Town" and schemes to take over the holiday. The Nightmare Before Christmas (also known as Tim Burton's The Nightmare Before Christmas) is a 1993 American stop-motion animated musical dark fantasy film directed by Henry Selick (in his feature directorial debut) and produced and conceived by Tim Burton.
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